Force and Strategy
	Outline
	Why is Nuclear Proliferation a Threat to the U.S.?
	Proliferation Nightmare Scenarios
	Why Do States Pursue or Refrain from Pursuing Nuclear Weapons?
	Nuclear Armed States in 2008
	Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT)
	Historical Summary of Military Fissile Material & Nuclear Weapons Programs
	Worldwide Nuclear Stockpiles 2008
	Nuclear Fuel Cycle under NPT IAEA Safeguards
	Additional Supply-Side Bilateral & Multilateral Mechanisms
	Nonproliferation Efforts by U.S.
	3 Interrelated Paths to Nuclear Proliferation
	Origins of A.Q. Khan Network
	Khan Network
	Networked Structure of Second-Tier Nuclear Proliferation, 1987-2002
	Network Structure of Second-tier Ballistic Missile Proliferation, 1974-2002
	How Proliferation Rings Exploit Export Control Weaknesses
	Ongoing Major Proliferation Issues

• Insurgencies and Counterinsurgencies: Afghanistan
• U.S. Nuclear Doctrine and Force Posture (1991-present)
• Dynamics of Coercion: Credibility, Capability, and 1930s Appeasement Crises
• Rise of China and the Future of the Balance-of-power in Asia
• Privitization of Military Forces and Functions