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Force and Strategy
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Lectures
Dynamics of Coercion: Credibility, Capability, and 1930s Appeasement Crises
Author
: Jeffrey W. Taliaferro
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Force and Strategy
Outline
Research Puzzle or Question
Some Strategies for Developing Good Research Puzzles
Four Attributes of a Good Research Puzzle
Appeasement Crises of 1930s
1938 Munich Crisis
"Lessons" of the 1930s Appeasement Crises
Press’s Research Puzzle
The Argument
Credibility, Resolve, and Reputation
Past Actions Theory vs. Current Calculus Theory
Past Action Theory Hypotheses
(Narrow version)
Summary of the Theories
Appeasement Crises of 1930s
Predictions: Statements about British and French Credibility
Results: Statements about British and French Credibility
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